The strangest recession you ever did see

Ian and Andrew start the episode by discussing Friday’s data deluge, particularly the red-hot inflation reading in the United States. Andrew talks about the implications for Canada based on the drivers of U.S. CPI strength, noting that both the near-term peak and the end-of-year resting spot have now increased. The duo spend a lot of time talking about the options for the Bank of Canada, and introduce CIBC’s new forecasts for the target rate, which is higher as a result of the data. Ian talks about why CAD rates have been underperforming of late, and why he likes being long cross-market now. Andrew finishes the episode by looking at the odd type of recession he believes could transpire if rates are risen too high.

Featured in this episode

In this series: Curve Your Enthusiasm

Your feedback matters to us!

Please fill out the form below to share your feedback to the CIBC Capital Markets Insights team.
If you would like to provide further details, please feel free to contact us.