CIBC Tech & Innovation Market Update – December 2022 – Volume 32

Welcome to the official newsletter of CIBC’s Tech & Innovation Capital Markets Group

A curated monthly report to keep our readers abreast on relevant and recent developments within the Canadian tech ecosystem.


Canadian technology sector performance and valuationSector Performance and valuation chart: S&P 500 (17.2%), S&P 500 Info Tech Index (23.1%), NASDAQ (30.1%), S&P/TSX Info Tech Index (55.8%)

 

 
EV / NTM revenue multiples 1 LTM sector price performance 1
EV/NTM revenue multiples: High Growth Canadian Saas 4.6x, Mid Cap Canadian Tech 2.5x, Small Cap Canadian Tech 2.0x, Large Cap Canadian Tech 1.6x LTM sector price performace: Large Cap Canadian Tech: (21.7%), Small Cap Canadian Tech (41.9%), Mid Cap Canadian Tech (32.6%), High-Growth Canadian Saas (49.3%)

Source: FactSet and Pitchbook; as at November 30, 2022; in C$ unless otherwise noted.
1 Please refer to the end of the document for technology group constituents.

 

Canadian Venture Capital market update 2

$771M

(vs. $755M in Oct-223)
Aggregate deal value

51

(vs. 41 in Oct-22)
Number of deals

$28M

(vs. $27M in Oct-223)
Avg. deal value

Ontario

($336M / 24)
Most active province
by count ($ / #) 

Ontario

($336M / 24)
Most active province
by value ($ / #)

Software

(67% of funds raised)
Most active sector

2 23 deals with no announced value are omitted from deal value. 
3 13 deals with no announced value are omitted from deal value.

 

Noteworthy Canadian deals

Company

Size

Sub-sector

Lead investors

TouchBistro

C$150M

Software

Francisco Partners

Xanadu

US$100M

Computer Hardware

Georgian

Hopper

US$96M

Software

Capital One

Attabotics

US$72M

Commercial Services

EDC

Workjam

US$50M

Software

Inovia Capital, Fonds de solidarité FTQ

Symend

US$40M

Software

Inovia Capital

Shoelace Learning

C$3M

Software

Sandpiper Ventures

T&I @ CIBC

Deal Activity

Podimetrics – $25 Million Debt Financing

CIBC Innovation Banking provided $25 million debt financing for Massachusetts-based Podimetrics Inc. (“Podimetrics”), an integrated clinical care service company that helps prevent amputations in patients suffering from complex diabetes. Podimetrics plans to use the debt financing to expand its commercial operations.

Read the full report on Yahoo! Finance.

SupportLogic

SupportLogic – Growth Capital

CIBC Innovation Banking provided growth capital facility for San Jose-based SupportLogic, Inc. (“SupportLogic”), a support experience (SX) platform designed to proactively improve customer experience and revenue retention. SupportLogic plans to leverage the growth capital facility to continue building new features and products to further assist support teams, management, and executives.

Read the full report on Business Wire.

Announcements

 

Outlook for Software M&A and Growth Equity 2.0

Colin Ryan, Managing Director and Head of Technology at CIBC Capital Markets hosted an industry workshop for private equity investors alongside Daniel Lee, Managing Director, Technology and Innovation, who provided an outlook on the software M&A and growth equity markets. Industry panelists included Thomas Krane, Managing Director at Insights Partners and Shubnam Datta, VP Corporate Development & Ventures at Clio with Paul McKinlay, Managing Director at CIBC Innovation Banking moderating.

Watch the event replay.

The Hon. Navdeep Bains, Vice-Chair for Global Investment Banking at CIBC Capital Markets was invited as keynote speaker for the annual 2022 Degroote School of Business Insights Lecture at the McMaster University. The Insights Lecture is Degroote’s premier speaking engagement for faculty and students, bringing together renowned speakers from academia and alumni in industry leadership. The keynote address, titled “Doubling Down on Innovation and Skills to Navigate Economic Headwinds” focuses on the influences of human capital, immigration and the Inflation Reduction Act to the Canadian Economy.

Read his remarks on CIBC Capital Markets Insights

 

 

AMA with Harley Finkelstein

Earlier this month, Harley Finkelstein (President, Shopify) joined tech entrepreneurs for an ask me anything (AMA) session hosted at CIBC Square. It was great to hear Harley’s insights on how Shopify is navigating current economic conditions, flexible working and shifting consumer trends.

 

Podcasts

Technology & Innovation in‘sites’ with CIBC Equity Research

T&I ‘Bits & Bytes’

Calling for Cuts – Activist investors latest target: Alphabet

A wave of layoffs has been hitting Silicon Valley in recent weeks, with Meta and Amazon the latest of the big tech names to join the trend. So far, Alphabet has managed to avoid cutting headcount, but a recent letter by activist investor TCI might be the catalyst for change, as TCI called on Alphabet to emulate headcount cuts introduced by its competitors and to normalize workforce salaries to the levels of its peers. In its letter, TCI also referenced conversations with former Google executives who suggest that the company could be operated much more effectively with significantly fewer employees.

Read the full article here.

Trust issues – Taking fake news to another level

The technology for computer-generated “deepfakes” has evolved since the term was first coined in 2017, to become much more convincing today. From advertisers using unauthorized, computer-generated, celebrity endorsements to bad actors creating fake videos from political leaders, the possibility for harm is only increasing. Detecting deepfakes has been challenging, with unbiased data sets difficult to develop and cyber-attacks potentially leading deepfakes to be classified as “real”. Technology companies continue to look for solutions, with Intel announcing this week that it has developed a real-time deepfake detector, which analyzes blood flow in video pixels.

Read the full article here.

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An instructive case study on ESG integration within tech – How a leading Canadian Investor incorporates ESG

This year, ESG-related shareholder proposals increased 37% Y/Y among ~100 of the largest North American tech companies we reviewed. To aid investors as they consider their own approach to ESG, this case study provides insights into how a prominent Canadian investment firm integrates ESG into its investment process. These findings come from our in-depth interview with Jennifer Coulson, BCI’s Senior Managing Director of ESG, and should be a helpful case study for investors as they reflect on their own treatment of ESG factors.

Read the full article here.

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U.S. Earnings Recap – Mixed results with outsized share price movements

Results from the U.S. tech giants have been slightly positive, with overall revenue coming in 1% above consensus and EBITDA 2.5% above expectations among the names that we track. The focus in the quarter has been on regulatory pressures on Big Tech, the global demand environment, and forward guidance/commentary. Despite a solid Q3 print, some U.S. tech names have started to feel an impact from the uncertain macro environment, with several firms noting a softer advertising market and Microsoft and Amazon also announcing softer cloud revenue than expected. Inflation remains a focus, with many tech companies trimming headcount and focusing on expense management.

Similar to Q2, we have seen an outsized market reaction on earnings misses and beats. Both SNAP and Meta were down 30% given Q3 misses and weak forward commentary. By contrast, Netflix was up 12% on better-than expected results.

Read the full article here.

Recent technology news

How Sam Bankman-Fried’s Crypto Empire Collapsed

After a run on deposits leaving a $8 billion shortfall, Sam Bankman-Fried’s $32 billion crypto-exchange company FTX dove into bankruptcy. The collapse of one of crypto’s biggest empires has shaken the industry and has cast further distrust on the technology. The New York Times investigates the events leading to the collapse and its questionable relationship with the CEO’s other company Alameda Research. FTX is currently the target of investigations by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Justice Department.

Read the full article at The New York Times.

Inside Meta’s oversight board: 2 years of pushing limits

It has been two years since Meta installed the Oversight Board – an independent body to help quell misinformation and hate speech while still upholding civil freedoms of expression on their social media platforms. While the intent of board is to arbitrate on individual pieces of content, current board members have their sights set on changing Meta’s corporate policies.

Read the full article at Wired.

There will never be anything like Twitter again

Although former Twitter CEO Dick Costolo was the first to do so, Elon Musk has repeatedly described the platform as the “global town square”. Shira Ovide of The Washington Post posits that humanity is far too divergent, complex and fractured for any social media platform, let alone Twitter, to serve this purpose.

Read the full article at The Washington Post.

 
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Tech & Innovation Key Contacts

Roman Dubczak
Deputy Chair
Susan Rimmer
Managing Director And Head, Global Corporate & Investment Banking
Kathy Butler
Vice Chair and Head of CIBC Capital Markets – B.C.
Colin Ryan
Managing Director, Head of Technology & Innovation, Global Investment Banking
Daniel Lee
Managing Director, Technology & Innovation, Global Investment Banking
Adam Noily
Managing Director, Head of U.S. Technology & Innovation, Global Investment Banking
Rob Magwood
Managing Director, Equity Capital Markets
Emilie Bissonnette
Managing Director, Global Investment Banking
Frazer Wong
Executive Director, Technology & Innovation, Global Investment Banking
Mark McQueen
President and Executive Managing Director, Innovation Banking
Mark Usher
Executive Managing Director, Innovation Banking
Paul McKinlay
Vice-President and Head of U.S. Origination, Innovation Banking

Canadian Technology Constituents

High-Growth Canadian SaaS – Ceridian, Copperleaf, Coveo, Descartes, Dialogue, Docebo, Kinaxis, Lightspeed, Magnet Forensics, Q4, Shopify, Thinkific

Large Cap Canadian Tech – Altus, Blackberry, Celestica, CGI, Constellation Software, Converge Technologies, Dye and Durham, Enghouse, Evertz Technologies, Nuvei, OpenText, Sierra Wireless, Softchoice, Well Health

Mid Cap Canadian Tech – Absolute Software, Calian, Computer Modelling Group, D2L, E Inc., Payfare, Real Matters, Sangoma, TECSYS

Small Cap Canadian Tech – Alithya, Baylin Tech, BBTV, Blackline Safety, Farmers Edge, Kneat, Optiva, Pivotree, Quarterhill, Sylogist, Terago, Vecima, Vitalhub, WeCommerce

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